Affiliation:
1. V. Serbsky National Medical Research Centre for Psychiatry and Narcology
2. V. Serbsky National Medical Research Centre for Psychiatry and Narcology; Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
Abstract
Active development of scientific technologies and the digital transformation of the healthcare service promise a serious breakthrough in understanding the norm and pathology, assessing the risks of diseases or specific mental conditions, predicting their course and possible consequences. In other words, there are hopes that in the nearest future science allows modeling and predicting of complex human behavior at least in some contexts. The article analyzes the progress in the field of human behavior modeling in medicine and, particularly, in psychiatry, for which the explanation of behavioral disorders is the most relevant. 1175 publications were reviewed and 74 of them were selected for further analysis of the exiting methods for human behavior modeling in norm and mental pathology. The article highlights the possibilities of human behavior modeling and its most promising prospects. The possibilities of such modeling at the present time are limited. Most part of the created models have no sufficient verification and are unsuitable for solving real practical problems. In addition, science progress is far from explaining complex variants of human behavior, and it is unclear if it is possible to model such behavior using computer architecture, which is significantly different from biological. Various behavioral models are considered, that allow to solve specific practical tasks in psychiatry and healthcare system, and therefore seem to be the most promising.
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