Radiological age assessment based on clavicle ossification in CT: enhanced accuracy through deep learning

Abstract

Abstract Background Radiological age assessment using reference studies is inherently limited in accuracy due to a finite number of assignable skeletal maturation stages. To overcome this limitation, we present a deep learning approach for continuous age assessment based on clavicle ossification in computed tomography (CT). Methods Thoracic CT scans were retrospectively collected from the picture archiving and communication system. Individuals aged 15.0 to 30.0 years examined in routine clinical practice were included. All scans were automatically cropped around the medial clavicular epiphyseal cartilages. A deep learning model was trained to predict a person’s chronological age based on these scans. Performance was evaluated using mean absolute error (MAE). Model performance was compared to an optimistic human reader performance estimate for an established reference study method. Results The deep learning model was trained on 4,400 scans of 1,935 patients (training set: mean age = 24.2 years ± 4.0, 1132 female) and evaluated on 300 scans of 300 patients with a balanced age and sex distribution (test set: mean age = 22.5 years ± 4.4, 150 female). Model MAE was 1.65 years, and the highest absolute error was 6.40 years for females and 7.32 years for males. However, performance could be attributed to norm-variants or pathologic disorders. Human reader estimate MAE was 1.84 years and the highest absolute error was 3.40 years for females and 3.78 years for males. Conclusions We present a deep learning approach for continuous age predictions using CT volumes highlighting the medial clavicular epiphyseal cartilage with performance comparable to the human reader estimate.